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The Jet Makers

The Aerospace Industry from 1945 to 1972

• Title
• Introduction
• Preface
• Acknowledgements

• I: World War II: Aviation Comes of Age
• II: The Aerospace Industry since World War II: A Brief History
• III: The National Military Strategy: Background for the Government Markets
• IV: The Principal Government Market: The United States Air Force
• V: The Other Government Markets: The Aerospace Navy, the Air Army, and NASA
• VI: Fashions in Government Procurement
• VII: The Heartbreak Market: Airliners
• VIII: Design or Die: The Supreme Technological Industry
• IX: Production: The Payoff
• X: Diversification: The Hedge for Survival
• XI: Costs: Into the Stratosphere
• XII: Finance and Management
• XIII: Entry into the Aerospace Industry
• XIV: Exit from the Aerospace Industry
• XV: The Influence of the Jet Engine on the Industry

• Notes
• Acronyms
• Annotated Bibliography



NOTES

PREFACE

  1. Peter W. Brooks, The Modern Airliner: Its Origins and Development (London: Putnam, 1961), pp. 118-19, 137, 141.

CHAPTER I

  1. Robin Higham, Air Power, A Concise History (New York: St. Martin's Press, 1972), pp. 3-8, 239-46; Higham, "Government, Companies, and National Defense: British Aeronautical Experience, 1918-1945 as the Basis for a Broad Hypothesis," Business History Review 39 (Autumn 1965): 323-47.
  2. Robert E. Sherwood, Roosevelt and Hopkins, An Intimate History, rev. ed. (New York: Harper & Brothers, 1950), p. 100.
  3. National Aeronautics and Space Administration, Fifty Years of Aeronautical Research (Washington, D.C.: Government Printing Office, 1967), Introduction.

CHAPTER II

  1. Aviation Week (Aviation, Aviation Week, and Aviation Week and Space Technology will henceforth be called Aviation Week), 19 Oct. 1959, p. 25.

CHAPTER VI

  1. Senate Committee on Armed Services, Hearings, Weapons Systems Acquisition Process (Washington, D.C.: Government Printing Office, 1972), 92nd Congress, 1st Session, 1971, p. 152.
  2. Harold Asher, Cost-Quantity Relationships in the Airframe Industry, Study No. R-291 (Santa Monica, Calif.: RAND Corp., 1956).
  3. The discussion which follows will concentrate on the Department of Defense. The other large government customer of the aerospace industry, NASA, adopted Defense Department procurement systems and has followed roughly the same fashions in buying at the same times.
  4. Aviation Week, 19 Mar. 1951, pp. 13-14.
  5. Ibid., 8 Sept. 1952, p. 32.
  6. Ibid., 14 July 1958, pp. 29---30.
  7. Senate Weapons Acquisition Hearings, 92nd Congress, 2nd Session, 1972, p. 37.
  8. Aviation Week, 14 Sept. 1970, p. 28.
  9. Richard Austin Smith, Corporations in Crisis (Garden City, N.Y.: Doubleday & Co., 1963), pp. 184,202.
  10. Aviation Week, 4 Oct. 1965, p. 21.
  11. Robert J. Art, The TFX Decision: McNamara and the Military (Boston: Little, Brown & Co., 1968). At one point, in the footnote on page 118, Art is puzzled by the Air Council's preference for the Boeing design which was deficient in low altitude supersonic flight, a property critical to the TFX specifications. However, there should be no surprise that the bomber-minded Air Council chose the Boeing proposal which was stronger in bomber characteristics over that of General Dynamics which was better in fighter qualities. At that time the Navy believed that the "F"-111, the "Edsel convertible," would turn out to be just another strategic bomber, a "B"-111. The F-111 did prove to be too heavy for its proposed roles as an Air Force air-superiority fighter and Navy interceptor, and the aircraft has served mainly in its bomber function.
  12. Aviation Week, 26 June 1972, p. 15.
  13. Senate Weapons Acquisition Hearings, 1st Session, p. 19.
  14. Aviation Week, 10 June 1963, pp. 135, 137-40.
  15. Comptroller General of the U.S., Adverse Effects of Large-Scale Production of Major Weapons before Completion of Development and Testing. Department of the Navy, 19 Nov. 1970.
  16. Stanford Research Institute (SRI), The Industry-Government Aerospace Relationship, Vol. I, Report (Menlo Park, Calif.: Stanford Research Institute, 1963), p. 34. Joint Economic Committee, Subcommittee on Economy in Government, Hearings, The Acquisition of Weapons Systems (Washington, D.C.: Government Printing Office, 1970-1973, 92nd Congress, 1st Session, 1971, Part 3, pp. 859-965.)

CHAPTER VII

  1. The Electra ultimately may have proven profitable, for it was converted into the highly successful P-3 Orion.
  2. Charles J. Kelly, Jr., The Sky's the Limit: The History of the Airlines (New York: Coward-McCann, Inc., 1963), p. 168.
  3. A clear description of the "prisoner's dilemma" is in Paul A. Samuelson, Economics, 8th ed. (New York: McGraw-Hill, 1970), pp. 482-83. A valuable description of similar product strategies is in Laurence J. White, The Automobile Industry Since 1945 (Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard University Press, 1971), pp. 173,175.
  4. Boeing had expected to break even at 50 aircraft, probably because of the hoped-for savings from converting a military design. The contemporary and comparable Douglas DC-6 was expected to break even at the' more common U.S. airliner level of 300 aircraft.
  5. Arthur Reed, Britain's Aircraft Industry: What Went Right? What Went Wrong? (London: J. M. Dent & Sons, 1973), p. 3.
  6. Aviation Week, 19 Oct. 1953, p. 13.
  7. The 720 was part of a Boeing program of offering a model for every purse and use, just as General Motors blankets the range of passenger cars. One wag at Boeing suggested the 707/KC-135 family should not be called "Stratoliner" but, rather, "StratoVarious."
  8. The one case of satisfactory conversion of the last piston airliners to turbines.
  9. Business Week, 21 July 1956, p. 170.
  10. Dero A. Saunders, "The Airlines Flight from Reality," Fortune 53 (Feb. 1956): 91-92.
  11. C. R. Smith, "What the Airlines Expect from the 1961 Jet Fleet," Fortune 54 (July 1956): 112-13.
  12. Because of the propeller, three engines had always been structurally awkward in piston engine aircraft.
  13. A factor in jet economy was engine life, or reliability. Time between overhauls for the last piston engines was 2,000 to 2,500 hours, or a light distance of 750,000 miles. The jets were getting up to 8,000 hours or 4,000,000 miles because of their higher flight speeds.

CHAPTER VIII

  1. Tom Alexander, "McNamara's Expensive Economy Plane," Fortune 75 (1 June 1967): 90.
  2. Letter to author from Lockheed Aircraft Corporation, 23 May 1973. Aviation Week, 30 Sept. 1968, p. 13.
  3. Senate Weapons Acquisition Hearings, 1st Session, pp. 132, 138.
  4. Aviation Week, 30 June 1952, p. 82; 20 Oct. 1952, p. 17.
  5. Aviation Week, 16 Nov. 1959, p. 123.
  6. Gilbert Burck, "Famine Years for the Arms Makers," Fortune 83 (May 1971): 248.
  7. Senate Weapons Acquisition Hearings, 92nd Congress, 2nd Session, 1972, p. 28.
  8. Aviation Week, 13 Aug. 1956, p. 33.
  9. Aviation Week, 2 Aug. 1971, p. 9.

CHAPTER IX

  1. Lockheed Annual Report for 1969, p. 3.
  2. Aviation Week, 27 Aug. 1951, p. 23.

CHAPTER X

  1. White, pp. 29,45-46.
  2. Aviation Week, 12 Aug. 1963, p. 36.
  3. Newsweek, 16 Aug. 1965, p. 67.
  4. Business Week, 25 Nov. 1950, p. 32. Wesley Price, "Merchant of Speed," Saturday Evening Post, 19 Feb. 1949, p. 32. This incident raises many interesting questions about aircraft industry costs and practices at the time.
  5. Only one jet aircraft was built in numbers, but it was not a Martin design. It was the B-57, an American version of the British Canberra, the only non-U.S. aircraft to go on operations with the Air Force since World War II. Around 400 were built from 1953 to 1956. It has proven to be a productive and long-lived aircraft, as has the whole Canberra line.
  6. Time, 5 Apr. 1971, p. 82.
  7. Wall Street Journal, 18 Apr. 1963, p. 8.

CHAPTER XI

  1. Wall Street Journal, 5 Aug. 1971, p. 24.
  2. Aviation Week, 17 Sept. 1971, p. 15. The Arizona Republic, 9 Mar. 1972, p. 60.
  3. A. Ernest Fitzgerald, The High Priests of Waste. (New York: W. W. Norton, 1972). Joint Weapons Acquisition Hearings, 92nd Congress, 2nd Session, 1972, Part 5, p. 1406; 1973, Part 6, pp. 2205-52.
  4. Fitzgerald, p. 159.
  5. Aviation Week, 24 Apr. 1967, pp. 26-27.
  6. Senate Weapons Acquisition Hearings, 1st Session, p. 161.
  7. The Arizona Republic, 13 May 1972, p. 17.
  8. Martin solved the problems without adding more managers.
  9. McNamara and the Air Force and Navy secretaries read the report in detail, analyzed it, and chose General Dynamics as the bid winner.
  10. Vincent Davis, The Admirals' Lobby (Chapel Hill: University of North Carolina Press, 1967), pp. 307-8.
  11. Overall, McNarney may have hurt General Dynamics; it was he who made the decision to build the 880.
  12. House Committee on Armed Services, Subcommittee for Special Investigations, Hearings, Aircraft Production Costs and Profits (Washington, D.C.: Government Printing Office, 1956), 84th Congress, 2nd Session, 1956, pp. 2639-59.
  13. Aviation Week, 28 July 1958, p. 58.
  14. Quoted in Richard F. Kaufman, The War Profiteers. (New York: Bobbs-Merrill, 1970), p. 117.
  15. Business Week, 3 June 1972, pp. 75-76.
  16. Business Week, 1 Apr. 1972, p. 44.
  17. Wall Street Journal, 30 Mar. 1972, p. 10.
  18. Aviation Week, 24 Nov. 1952, p. 17.
  19. Fitzgerald, pp. 69-70.
  20. R. R. Nelson, The Economics of Parallel Rand D Efforts: A Sequential-Decision Analysis, RAND Corp. Report No. RM-2482, 12 Nov. 1959.
  21. Edgar E. Ulsamer, "The Designers of Dassault: Men Who Take One Step at a Time," Air Force 53 (Aug. 1970): 38.
  22. Herman O. Stekler, The Structure and Performance of the Aerospace Industry (Berkeley: University of California Press, 1965), p. 193; Berkeley Rice, The C-5A Scandal: An Inside Story of the Military Industrial Complex (Boston: Houghton Miffiin, 1971), p. 54; Joint Economic Committee, Subcommittee on Economy in Government, Hearings, Economics of Military Procurement (Washington, D.C.: Government Printing Office, 1968), 90th Congress, 2nd Session, 1968, Part 1, p. 160; Senate Weapons Acquisition Hearings, 1st Session, p. 146; ibid., p. 244; ibid., p. 215; Joint Weapons Acquisition Hearings, 1972, Part 6, p.2131.

CHAPTER XII

  1. A factor in the government's change in policy has been the growing commercial aircraft business and other diversification which should not be publicly financed.
  2. Joint Weapons Acquisition Hearings, 92nd Congress, 1st Session, 1971, Part 4, pp. 1146.
  3. Aviation Week, 5 June 1967, p. 79.
  4. The result was also a significant reduction in profits as well, for interest on borrowed capital was not allowed as a business expense on defense contracts.
  5. Tai Saeng Shin, "A Financial Analysis of the Airframe-Turned Aerospace Industry" (Ph.D. Dissertation, University of Illinois, 1969).
  6. Ibid., pp. 134-36, 142-43, 146.
  7. William L. Baldwin, The Structure of the Defense Market 1955-1964 (Durham, N.C.: Duke University Press, 1967), p. 196.
  8. They have also been sought for nonfinancial reasons: to gain help in engineering and other resources in attempts by two or more firms to match weakness in one company with strength in another.
  9. Aviation Week, 20 Nov. 1967, pp. 59, 99, 101,105.
  10. Joint Procurement Economics Hearings, Part 1, p. 58.
  11. Joint Weapons Acquisition Hearings, Part 3, pp. 859-965.
  12. Ibid.
  13. Ibid.
  14. Allan T. Demaree, "Defense Profits, the Hidden Issues," Fortune 80 (1 Aug. 1969): 82, 83. Aviation Week, 4 May 1970, p. 55.
  15. Senate Weapons Acquisition Hearings, 1st Session, p. 133.
  16. Gordon R. Conrad and Irving H. Plotkin, "Risk/Return: U.S. Industry Pattern," Harvard Business Review 46 (Mar.-Apr. 1968): 91-97.
  17. John B. Rae, Climb to Greatness: The American Aircraft Industry, 1920-1960 (Cambridge, Mass.: The MIT Press, 1968), p. 218.

CHAPTER XIII

  1. Stekler, pp. 127-28.
  2. Dennis C. Mueller and John E. Tilton, Research and Development Costs as a Barrier to Entry (Washington, D.C.: The Brookings Institution, 1970). Reprinted from The Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d' Economique, Vol. II, No. 4 (Nov. 1969).
  3. Merton J. Peck and Frederic M. Scherer, The Weapons Acquisition Process: An Economic Analysis. (Boston: Graduate School of Business Administration, Harvard University, 1962), pp. 198--99.
  4. Senate Armed Services Committee, Preparedness Subcommittee Number 1, Hearings. Aircraft Procurement. Contract Award of C-119 Cargo Planes by Air Force (Washington, D.C.: Government Printing Office, 1953), 83rd Congress, 1st Session, 1953, p. 113.

CHAPTER XIV

  1. Harry S. Truman, Memoirs, Vol. 1, Year of Decisions (Garden City, N.Y.: Doubleday, 1955), p. 184.
  2. Missiles and Rockets, 26 June 1961, p. 31.
  3. Richard Austin Smith, Corporations in Crisis, Chapter 3.
  4. Aviation Week, 22 Aug. 1955, p. 17.
  5. Senate Weapons Acquisition Hearings, 1st Session, p. 157.
  6. Stekler, p. 199.

CHAPTER XV

  1. Rae, pp. 212-19. Stekler, pp. 197, 204.
  2. Jacob K. Javits, Charles J. Hitch, and Arthur F. Burns, The Defense Sector and the American Economy (New York: New York University Press, 1968), p. 68.
  3. J. Herbert Holloman, "Technology in the United States: Issues for the 1970's," Technology Review 74 (June 1972): 10, 18, 20.